“But I just think the younger, stronger, hungrier guy is is Patty. And yeah, I if I have to give a pick, I'm going to I'm going to pick Patty Pimlet in this one.”
Caller
Paul Felder
Believe You Me · retired UFC
Paul Felder has called 13 of 19 fights right. Betting $100 on each of the 19 priced picks would have made $38, picking the favourite 84% of the time.
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How often they picked the fighter who actually won. Only fights with a result count.
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If you had bet $100 on every one of their picks at the odds bookmakers offered right before the fight, this is what you'd have won or lost.
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How often their pick was the fighter the bookmakers expected to win. Picking favourites is the easy way to a high hit rate.
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How many times they picked the fighter the bookmakers expected to lose, and how many of those came true.
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What you would have hit by simply picking the bookmakers' favourite in the same fights. A caller beating this number is adding something.
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Results of their five most recent graded picks, oldest to newest.
More stats
- Called the finish
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When they also said how the fight ends (knockout, submission or decision), how often that part was right too.
- 2 of 5 right
- Confident calls
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Picks they stated plainly, without hedging or joking.
- 10 of 15 right
- Forecast score vs bookmakers
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A score for how close their calls were to what happened. Lower is better. Shown next to the bookmakers' score on the same fights.
- 0.316 vs 0.174
Every pick, with the receipt
Newest card first. Tap “Verify” to watch the moment they said it.
UFC 324: Gaethje vs PimblettSat, Jan 24, 2026 · 5 of 6 right
“I I I I I so on the fence with this one [...] if it's just a striking battle yeah I think he should probably go out there and be the slicker better guy on the feet”
“I got to go with my boy uh Waldo Cortez Aosta. [...] I think there's a good chance he gets knocked out as well, but I'm going with our boy Cortez Aosta in this one.”
“I think it's going to go to decision, too. [...] I think she can pull off a decision against Rose and I love Rose and she could pull it out, but I'm I'm going with Natalyia Silva, too.”
“I I like I like John Silva in this fight. I think Arnold being out as long as he has and then you got to come in against some crazy [ __ ] like John Silva. [...] I think Lord Silva comes back strong in this one.”
“I I I think Umar gets this one done. I think he might even be able to to pull off a finish in this one.”
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs MakhachevSat, Nov 15, 2025 · 1 of 3 right
“I'm going to pick Jack Dela Matalena in this fight. [...] I know you're going to do Jack. >> I'm going to do Jack.”
“I I mean, I think Shawn's going to get it done. I did it for the DraftKings thing, too. I think I I think a late sub for Shawn.”
“I as well am going to go with Carlos Bratz. I just think uh I think if they're both going to strike and I think Carlos does have good enough takedown defense”
UFC 321: Aspinall vs GaneSat, Oct 25, 2025 · 3 of 4 right
“If I'm giving my pick, I'm still going with Tom Aspinall to get the dub. But I do think that there is a world where if they stay on the feet, Ciryl Gane, especially if it drags on and gets into deeper water”
“Yeah, I agree with you there. I just think that her path to victory of getting Mackenzie Dern down and and submitting her I think is not bloody likely.”
“But I think Umar just the speed that he strikes with at that distance, the way he can mix in wrestling, yeah, I I I see Umar winning that fight.”
“Uh I'm going to go Almeida. I think he's going to find a way to get this fight to the ground and I think he's going to sub him.”
“I I I I like Azamat. I I think he's just got uh a special special touch in the in those hands. I think he's going to find that chin of Rakić. [...] but I think Murzakanov's going to get it done.”
UFC 314: Volkano vs ki vs. LopesSat, Apr 12, 2025 · 4 of 6 right
“But, I'm backing Volk on this one. Um again, I'm either calling a late stoppage, round four or five, or uh like you talked about, Harrington, just uh a a pretty clean decision on this one.”
“Yeah, dude, you know, I I have also been leaning that way. Like I said earlier, if you're a betting guy, Chandler is Chandler as the underdog, but I swear to God that that's where my mind is going.”
“I think I think he'll show that he belongs there, but I see Yair winning this fight.”
“But, man, I don't know if I can go against Rousimar Palhares in this one. I think he's going to get it done, and um he's probably going to find a way to knock him out.”
“Ah man, well, I hate to agree with you here, Michael, but I also I'm going with I mean, yeah, I can only be honest with you. [...] I love Nikita”
“I absolutely can see um uh Chase Hooper getting it done, but if I had to pick If I had to pick, I'm picking Jim.”